Climate change may influence the forest sector in Nordic Countries through changes in forest growth and through changes in world trade patterns because of climate changes in other regions. The CATRINE project analysed the order of magnitude of both these impacts by using a General Computable Equilibrium (GCE) macroeconomic global model which includes trade between Norway and 6 other regions, and compares the results of this model with the results of using the partial equilibrium forest sector model EFI-GTM. Nordic countries have been selected as a case study region for this activity due to their high importance for the European forest sector. Norway will be used as the main case study country, due to links with existing research projects. The results were discussed with special focus on methodological strength and weaknesses of the model approaches.
The CATRINE project was a part of research cooperation between CICERO (Center for International Climate and Environmental Research, University of Oslo) and Norwegian University of Life Sciences (UMB).The GCE model will be developed by CICERO in cooperation with the UMB on forestry and forest industry issues. EFI contributed with calibrated forestry and forest industry data and with specified model runs using the EFI-GTM, and in report writing.